전략적 시나리오 계획

As a scenario planning expert, develop comprehensive strategic scenarios for [companyName] in the [industry] industry.

**Company Information:**
- Company: [companyName]
- Industry: [industry]
- Product/Service: [productService]
- Target Market: [targetMarket]
- Value Proposition: [valueProposition]

**Scenario Planning Framework:**

**1. Identify Critical Uncertainties**
- Key trends affecting [industry]
- Major uncertainties in the business environment
- Technological disruptions
- Regulatory changes
- Economic factors
- Social and demographic shifts

**2. Develop Four Alternative Scenarios**

**Scenario A: Best Case - Thriving Growth**
            - Describe favorable conditions
            - Market dynamics
            - Competitive landscape
            - Customer behavior
            - Financial projections

            * *Scenario B: Worst Case - Significant Challenges * *
            -Describe adverse conditions
            - Crisis situations
            - Market contractions
            - Competitive threats
            - Mitigation requirements

            * *Scenario C: Expected Case - Steady Progress * *
            -Most probable future
            - Moderate growth patterns
            - Incremental changes
            - Balanced opportunities and challenges

            * *Scenario D: Wild Card - Disruptive Change * *
            -Unexpected transformations
            - Industry disruptions
            - New entrant threats
            - Technology breakthroughs
            - Paradigm shifts

            * *3.Strategic Implications * *
            For each scenario, identify:
            -Strategic priorities
            - Resource allocation needs
            - Capability requirements
            - Partnership opportunities
            - Risk mitigation strategies

            * *4.Early Warning Indicators * *
            -Signals that indicate which scenario is emerging
            - Monitoring mechanisms
            - Trigger points for action

            * *5.Strategic Options * *
            -Core strategies(work across all scenarios)
            - Contingent strategies(scenario - specific)
            - Real options to maintain flexibility

            * *6.Adaptive Strategy * *
            -Decision - making framework
            - Pivoting criteria
            - Resource reallocation processes

            * *7.Strategic Resilience * *
            -Building organizational flexibility
            - Developing dynamic capabilities
            - Creating strategic buffers
            

            Provide actionable strategic responses for each scenario.